Yesterday, I tried posting on Posthaven, the paid platform I use, but it wasn’t working. So, I switched back to LinkedIn, though it's a bit more work since LinkedIn isn’t available in China.
The big news today is Donald Trump’s return to the White House. He’s made history as the oldest elected president, the first convicted felon to win office, and the second president to stage a comeback.
Much has been written about Trump’s enduring popularity, but another factor in his success has been Biden’s perceived failures, which have indirectly boosted his opponent’s appeal. Additionally, Kamala Harris’s identity as a Black woman may have influenced voters, as the country may not yet be ready for someone with that background to be next in line for the presidency.
Now, with Trump’s return, we’re likely to see seismic shifts. First, as he promised, he’ll pursue large-scale deportations of undocumented immigrants. Legally, this may be more complicated than he suggests.
Second, China can expect a hard stance. Many still remember the trade war Trump initiated during his first term. Any new tariffs could trigger widespread reactions, impacting both the Chinese and global economies.
Third, global efforts to address climate change will likely face setbacks. Trump has vowed to withdraw from the Paris Climate Accord, and domestically, his skepticism toward climate initiatives may lead to scaled-back environmental protections. These policies would likely favor traditional energy sectors over renewables, affecting both U.S. emissions and global climate goals.
Fourth, Trump’s planned tax cuts and deregulation measures would benefit the wealthiest Americans. His administration would likely promote policies favoring large corporations, especially in sectors like oil and gas, while dialing back environmental regulations. This could have significant impacts on healthcare, the environment, and social welfare programs. Estimates suggest that his proposed tax cuts could increase the U.S. deficit by $6.6 trillion.
Lastly, in terms of international relations, Trump’s “America First” approach emphasizes nationalism and transactional dealings with allies. We may see increased tensions within NATO and a preference for bilateral deals over traditional alliances.
There’s certainly more to what the next four years could hold under Trump. One can’t fully prepare for the unpredictability that often accompanies his leadership.
A Chinese saying offers some perspective at times like this: 乱哄哄你方唱罢我登场 (luàn hōng hōng, nǐ fāng chàng bà, wǒ dēng chǎng), which means, "In a chaotic whirl, as soon as your song ends, I take the stage." It captures the unceasing drama of political life, where one leader’s turn is quickly followed by another’s. However dramatic Trump’s entrance, in four years, the stage will be set for someone else.