Most Chinese are familiar with the famous line from Romance of the Three Kingdoms: "话说天下大势,分久必合,合久必分" (huà shuō tiān xià dà shì, fēn jiǔ bì hé, hé jiǔ bì fēn) "In the grand scheme of the world, long periods of division will inevitably lead to unity, and long periods of unity will inevitably lead to division." This reflects the cyclical nature of Chinese history, marked by repeated patterns of fragmentation and reunification.
While we know these words, we often don’t dive deeper to ask: what are the forces behind division and unity? Why has China achieved prolonged periods of unity, whereas Europe has struggled to unify?
This is a complex and interesting topic, but here’s a brief overview of the key forces in China and Europe.
Forces of Division
Divisive forces arise from differences in ethnicity, language, religion, ideology, and culture. When groups prioritize their unique identities over shared interests, unity becomes challenging. The stronger the sense of localism, the weaker the central government’s ability to maintain control. Historically, weak central governments make division more likely. External forces can subvert a unified country, as we often see today.
Forces of Unity
Unity is driven by shared identity, such as common language, culture, history, and geography. A strong central government and political stability are essential to foster a sense of unity. When effective governance addresses the needs of different groups, the desire for separatism is minimized.
Interestingly, external forces can also unite otherwise divided groups for survival. A clear example is how China came together during the Japanese invasion. Additionally, charismatic leaders at critical moments can inspire people to overcome divisions and unite around a common cause.
Why China Has Achieved Long Periods of Unity
China’s long shared history, culture, and identity, spanning over 2,000 years, are key reasons for its enduring unity. Chinese nationalism has been further strengthened under the current government, which appeals to the idea of national rejuvenation and the "China Dream." This vision unites the population, and for centuries, the forces of unity have outweighed those of division.
Why Europe Struggles with Unity
Europe’s inability to fully unify stems from its deeply rooted historical and cultural divisions. Centuries of political fragmentation led to the development of diverse languages, cultures, regional identities, and political traditions. The rise of the nation-state system, solidified by the Treaty of Westphalia in 1648, emphasized national sovereignty over continental unity.
Nationalism in the 19th century further deepened these divisions, as nation-states were formed around distinct cultures, languages, and ethnicities. This made it difficult for European countries to relinquish their differences and come together under one entity, such as the European Union.
Moreover, Europe has seen continuous internal conflict. From the Hundred Years' War to the two World Wars, and even the current Ukraine-Russia conflict, Europe has remained a battleground for power and dominance. Each of these wars reinforced divisions rather than achieving unity.
The 2016 Brexit vote is another example of the tension between national sovereignty and broader European integration, while the collapse of Yugoslavia and its ensuing conflicts reflect how deep-seated ethnic and political grievances continue to hinder unity.
Conclusion
In both China and Europe, the forces of unity and division have continuously shaped their histories. The longer a country remains unified, the harder it is for divisive forces to prevail—and vice versa. China, with its long history of cultural continuity, a unified language, and a strong centralized government, has managed to maintain periods of unity far longer than division. The idea of national rejuvenation and shared identity has only strengthened its unity in modern times.
Europe, on the other hand, has been shaped by centuries of fragmentation, competing sovereignties, and fierce rivalry for dominance. While attempts at unity have been made—most notably through the European Union—the continent's historical divisions remain a formidable challenge.
Ultimately, the balance between forces of unity and division is delicate, and while China may continue to uphold its centralized strength, Europe will likely struggle with its historic tensions. But as history has shown, neither unity nor division is permanent. These cycles continue, influenced by shifting political, social, and external pressures, reminding us that the grand narrative of nations is always evolving.